Mark Pearce Quotes
There isn't a good guideline on that because at this time of year, you're going from open water to making ice... Just because it's been cold two days does not mean the ice is safe on every water body you set foot on. 
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You can hook into the ice and kick your feet to try to get level with the surface to try to work your way out... But you're contending with hypothermia, you're contending with your clothes getting waterlogged. You've got a precious few minutes to work yourself back up on top of the ice before you're in big trouble.
- Mark Pearce
