Bill Cheney Quotes
						 You are seeing a large number of people coming out of the woodwork because there are jobs to be found. People are now looking for jobs because it is now worth looking.
						
						- Bill Cheney
						
						
					
			
			   
              
              
						
						
					
			
			   
              
						 With today's report, the odds of a negative quarter of GDP growth have increased substantially, and the chances of a full-fledged recession just went up -- perhaps approaching 50-50. Job losses cut directly into the spending of the newly unemployed, and indirectly tend to have a very real impact on the confidence of those who are still working. If demand falls, firms will lay off more employees, and the downward spiral could put us over the edge into a bona fide recession before the Fed's actions can take effect.
						
						- Bill Cheney
					
			
						
												
						
						
						
					
			
			   
              
              
						
						
					
			
			   
              
						 With the U.S. slowdown looking more real each day, the trade deficit may have passed its peak. The slowdown hadn't hit full force yet in October. U.S. consumers are still sucking in massive amounts of imports. The slowdown will be more clearly seen in November and December's figures. If imported goods start to pile up on retailers' shelves this holiday season, imports could drop off fast.
						
						- Bill Cheney
					
			
						
												
						
						
						
					
			
			   
              
              
						
						
					
			
			   
              
						 While the labor market may feel like the weakest link in the recovery, really it's the last link. As long as employment doesn't collapse, the recovery will continue to gain strength. As it does, slowly jobs will be added and they will be the fuel that kicks the economy into a higher gear.
						
						- Bill Cheney
					
			
						
												
						
						
						
					
			
			   
              
              
						
						
					
			
			   
              
						 When demand does start to rebound, the Fed will have to deal with the delayed effects of a year of aggressive monetary stimulus. Short-term rates will almost certainly have to rise faster and farther than seems credible today. Of course, this is a problem that we now feel we would enjoy facing.
						
						- Bill Cheney
					
			
						
												
						
						
						
					
			
			   
              
              
						
						
					
			
			   
              
						 What worries me the most is a slip backward becoming a spiral downward. Jobs are the linchpin of both consumer confidence and consumer spending. We can't sustain many more losses like this without that downward spiral getting started. This is the kind of data that could make the Fed think about easing again.
						
						- Bill Cheney
					
			
						
												
						
						
						
					
			
			   
              
              
						
						
					
			
			   
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