Probabilities Quotes
With the Aussies needing only to avoid defeat in the final two matches to retain the Ashes, punters reckon that they will play safe and that, combined with the likelihood of the weather taking a hand early on in the game, swings the balance of probabilities towards the draw as the most likely outcome.
- Graham Sharpe
The average value for the troubled company index from January 1990 to the present is 14.2%. The index value for January means that credit conditions are currently better than 96% of the 15 year historical period covered by the index. The number of companies with default probabilities between 1% and 5% remained unchanged in January at 4.6% of the universe. Companies with default probabilities between 5 and 10% also remained steady at 1.0% of the universe. Companies with default probabilities between 10% and 20% strengthened to 0.7% of the universe from 0.9% in December. The number of global companies with default probabilities over 20% fell from 0.7% to 0.6% of the universe.
- Warren Sherman
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